Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.017589 0.019392 0.021211 0.023177 0.025239 0.027333 0.029616
2025-06-29 0.013468 0.016214 0.019107 0.022361 0.025896 0.029601 0.033760
2025-07-06 0.010627 0.013829 0.017333 0.021399 0.025937 0.030804 0.036374
2025-07-13 0.009260 0.012849 0.016899 0.021711 0.027189 0.033157 0.040084
2025-07-20 0.007872 0.011676 0.016101 0.021482 0.027720 0.034617 0.042717
2025-07-27 0.006759 0.010711 0.015444 0.021322 0.028250 0.036007 0.045211
2025-08-03 0.006279 0.010473 0.015610 0.022089 0.029814 0.038539 0.048966
2025-08-10 0.005381 0.009612 0.014947 0.021809 0.030108 0.039582 0.050998
2025-08-17 0.004582 0.008804 0.014291 0.021485 0.030308 0.040480 0.052835
2025-08-24 0.003916 0.008114 0.013734 0.021243 0.030569 0.041423 0.054699
2025-08-31 0.003323 0.007466 0.013188 0.020977 0.030773 0.042274 0.056435
2025-09-07 0.002867 0.006972 0.012814 0.020901 0.031187 0.043356 0.058427
2025-09-14 0.002265 0.006221 0.012101 0.020438 0.031206 0.044077 0.060139
2025-09-21 0.001655 0.005363 0.011191 0.019695 0.030874 0.044397 0.061415
2025-09-28 0.001124 0.004515 0.010214 0.018800 0.030303 0.044389 0.062272
2025-10-05 0.000924 0.004265 0.010116 0.019090 0.031241 0.046218 0.065322
2025-10-12 0.000670 0.003825 0.009677 0.018877 0.031503 0.047199 0.067338
2025-10-19 0.000474 0.003447 0.009303 0.018728 0.031831 0.048248 0.069427
2025-10-26 0.000418 0.003429 0.009527 0.019443 0.033303 0.050728 0.073258
2025-11-02 0.000267 0.003052 0.009100 0.019182 0.033457 0.051543 0.075050
2025-11-09 0.000151 0.002692 0.008663 0.018880 0.033539 0.052253 0.076703
2025-11-16 0.000075 0.002387 0.008291 0.018654 0.033707 0.053062 0.078469
2025-11-23 0.000027 0.002100 0.007919 0.018406 0.033830 0.053803 0.080145